San Jose St
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 68.9801Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 14-16 906 A Texas SEC (10- 3, 89.8) 7-38 920 H Idaho 31-28 927 A Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 74.3) 29-30 1003 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 35-28 1011 A Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 70.9) 28-35 1017 A Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 25-30 1101 H Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 45-38 1108 H Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 16-26 1115 A Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 10-55 1122 A San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 3-25 1129 H Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 14-41
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 H Cen Michigan 14-16 -2 2 - -3.63
906 A Texas 7-38 -31 -26 0.00
927 A Stanford 29-30 -1 -11 +++ 9.57
1003 H New Mexico 35-28 7 -3 +++ 10.27
1011 A Wyoming 28-35 -7 -7 0.16
1017 A Utah St 25-30 -5 -12 +++ 6.81
1101 H Hawaii 45-38 7 -2 +++ 8.96
1108 H Air Force 16-26 -10 2 --- -11.85
1115 A Nevada 10-55 -45 -8 --- -6.31
1122 A San Diego St 3-25 -22 -14 -0.18
1129 H Fresno St 14-41 -27 0 --- -13.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Air Force 16-26 -10 2 --- -11.85 1115 A Nevada 10-55 -45 -8 --- -6.31 1129 H Fresno St 14-41 -27 0 --- -13.81 829 H Cen Michigan 14-16 -2 2 - -3.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A Stanford 29-30 -1 -11 +++ 9.57 1003 H New Mexico 35-28 7 -3 +++ 10.27 1017 A Utah St 25-30 -5 -12 +++ 6.81 1101 H Hawaii 45-38 7 -2 +++ 8.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 14-16 -27.29 23.93 -5.26 1.16 -18.86
3 A Texas (10- 3, 89.8) 7-38 -10.13 41.09 5.26 1.16 -2.82
3 A Stanford ( 4- 8, 74.3) 29-30 -25.61 25.61 5.26 1.16 -11.79
3 H New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 35-28 -22.39 28.83 -5.26 1.16 54.64
3 A Wyoming ( 5- 7, 70.9) 28-35 -29.02 22.20 5.26 1.16 -13.77
3 A Utah St ( 7- 7, 75.5) 25-30 -24.37 26.85 5.26 1.16 -11.07
3 H Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 45-38 -23.70 27.52 -5.26 1.16 51.61
3 H Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 16-26 -27.51 23.71 -5.26 1.16 -18.99
3 A Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 10-55 -28.49 22.73 5.26 1.16 -13.47
3 A San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 3-25 -22.36 28.86 5.26 1.16 -9.91
3 H Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 14-41 -25.47 25.75 -5.26 1.16 -17.81
------
-12.25
|
winning pts = 106.2520 losing points = -118.4988
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------